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Aahan Menon
  • The Observatory
CPI Tomorrow + Shorting Treasuries
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. There is potential for CPI to decelerate modestly tomorrow; however, we remain in a stagflationary environment….
  • The Observatory
Fuel For Spending Drying Up
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Pressures are increasing on consumer spending. The latest wage data suggest the potential for respite…
  • The Observatory, The Week Ahead
History Tells Us Not To Own Equities Right Now
Our systematic tracking of economic and financial conditions paints a bleak picture for US equities. Commodity strength remains unrelenting in aggregate; however, we see areas of the commodity complex begin to weaken. Nonetheless, the fundamental backdrop remains where the growth impulse is negative, and inflation remains resiliently high. Markets…
  • The Observatory
ETF Strategy Positions + ISM Misleading?
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. ISM Services came in lower but outperformed expectations. The latest ISM Services data showed an…
  • The Observatory
Employment Holding Up The Economy
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. ISM Manufacturing PMI data bucked the slowdown trend. The latest ISM Manufacturing data showed an…
  • The Observatory
Economic Data Slows Further
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Regional surveys of economic activity continue to tell us we are in a slowdown. The…
  • The Observatory, The Week Ahead
Lower ISM Incoming?
Markets will be closed tomorrow in the US on account of Memorial Day, but we will provide our guidance for the rest of the week. Despite last week’s bounce in equity markets, our systematic process tells us we are in a stagflationary regime that remains unfriendly to both equities….
  • The Observatory
End Of Week ETF Strategy Positions
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Real Personal Spending accelerated, in line with expectations. Real Personal Consumption came in at 2.78%,…
  • The Observatory
Equities Bounce, But The Environment Remains Unchanged
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Initial Jobless Claims came in better than expected. Unemployment remains broadly below trend. California showed…
  • The Observatory
Production Bucks The Slowdown Trend
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Industrial New Orders for Durable Goods bucked the slowdown trend. New Orders for Industrial Durable…
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