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Aahan Menon
  • Macro Mechanics
Treasury Issuance Impact
In H2 of 2023, the Treasury is set to issue close to approximately $1.9 trillion in new borrowing. This will likely have significant impacts on liquidity and macro markets. We discuss our views on the subject as we believe it to be an extremely important driver of the macroeconomic…
  • Prometheus ETF Portfolio
Growth, Inflation, & Liquidity: The Outlook
With our next Month In Macro soon to release, so we think it is important to contextualize the big-picture. Our takeaways are as follows: Growth has accelerated within a broader slowdown that will likely eventually turn into a recession. However, the journey to this destination is likely to be…
  • Prometheus ETF Portfolio
Staying Long Nominal Growth
Welcome to our official publication of the Prometheus ETF Portfolio. Our primary takeaways for last week are as follows: Markets moved to price-tightening liquidity conditions last week. Treasuries rose last week as economic growth came in marginally weaker. However, this weakness was far from consistent with the degree of…
  • Prometheus ETF Portfolio
Long Nominal Growth
Welcome to our official publication of the Prometheus ETF Portfolio. Our primary takeaways for last week are as follows: Markets have moved to price-rising real growth and increasing liquidity.  A significant portion of these moves comes from markets pricing easier monetary conditions via lower real interest rates. We see…
  • The Observatory, Uncategorized
Is Employment Supporting Consumer Equities?
Employment remains the stronghold of today’s economic expansion. Today we focus on assessing the most recent data on employee incomes and their impact on markets. Our takeaways are as follows: Nominal employee income has increased by 6.29% since last year, with 4.09% coming from real growth. Employment is the…
  • Prometheus ETF Portfolio
Long Stocks & Commodities, Short Treasuries
Welcome to our official publication of the Prometheus ETF Portfolio. Our primary takeaways for last week are as follows: Nominal growth pricing dominates price action and remains supported by private-sector liquidity. Markets continue to price interest rate cuts.  Stocks are likely to continue to outperform bonds if nominal growth…
  • Month in Macro
June Edition
Our best Month In Macro to date. 50 pages of the most granular and actionable systematic macro research you will find anywhere. Click the link below to begin reading:  Month In Macro: June Edition This note aims to share our research team’s internal checkpoint process in evaluating the current…
  • The Observatory
Are Trends In Construction Markets Sustainable?
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of the economy and financial markets in real-time. The insights provided here are slivers of our research process that are integrated algorithmically into our systems to create rules-based portfolios. Today, we evaluate the latest information…
  • Prometheus ETF Portfolio
Don’t Fight The Liquidity Trend
Welcome to our official publication of the Prometheus ETF Portfolio. Our primary takeaways this week are as follows: Markets have moved to price rising real growth conditions in rising equities relative to other assets.  This rising equity trend is underwritten by a significant improvement in liquidity conditions.  While recessionary…
  • The Observatory
What Is Manufacturing Telling Us About Industrial Equities?
Today, we evaluate the most recent manufacturing new orders data to understand its impact on the economy and markets. Our takeaways are as follows: Total manufacturing new orders are down over the last year. However, there has been a rebound in orders over the last quarter driven almost entirely…

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