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Aahan Menon
  • The Observatory
Fiscal Withdrawal To Drag On Profits
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. The insights provided here are slivers of our research process that are integrated algorithmically into our systems to create rules-based portfolios. i. Fiscal tightness will continue…
  • The Observatory
Sequence Of Decline: Profits, Then Employment
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. The insights provided here are slivers of our research process that are integrated algorithmically into our systems to create rules-based portfolios. Here are the top developments…
  • The Observatory
We will be back next week.
We’ll take a brief break from publishing for the next few days, so our ETF Strategy and Week Ahead notes won’t be updated. We’ll resume coverage midweek next week….
  • The Observatory
King Dollar
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. The insights provided here are slivers of our research, that are integrated algorithmically into our systems to create rules-based portfolios. Here are the top developments that…
  • The Observatory, The Week Ahead
Tightening Liquidity Is Deflationary, Starting To Add Treasuries
Last week, markets continued to price tightening liquidity conditions, but now with a deflationary tilt. The Dollar continued to power ahead, alongside US Treasuries. Equities and Commodities suffered significant losses, telling us that markets were moving aggressively toward pricing in falling growth expectations. Markets were particularly focused on the…
  • ETF Strategy, The Observatory
Stay Short Equities & Credit + Long Dollar
Today, we will provide updates on our ETF Strategy. Our ETF Strategy algorithmically employs our systematic analysis of the US economy and financial markets to create a rules-based, quantitative portfolio. At Prometheus, we focus on understanding the underlying mechanics that drive market environments. We use fundamental economic and high-frequency…
  • The Observatory
Late Cycle Income Dynamics: Stay Short Risk
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. Personal income data showed households increased their savings in May, bringing down personal spending. Income…
  • The Observatory
Recession Incoming
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. It is highly likely we are headed towards a recession. Arguably, we are already in…
  • The Observatory
Lower Inflation Worsens The Outlook For Stocks
Welcome to The Observatory. The Observatory is how we at Prometheus monitor the evolution of both the economy and financial markets in real-time. Here are the top developments that stand out to us: i. New Orders data suggest sustained business demand for manufacturing but also reflects inflationary pressures. Durable…
  • ETF Strategy, The Observatory
Strategy & Positions With Kyla
Kyla walks you through the latest performance and positions of our ETF Strategy in the context of recent market and economic changes. We discuss the recent waning of inflationary pressures coming for commodities, and what it means for our portfolio allocations. Finally, we walk you through our major asset…
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